Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.114430 0.127668 0.141227 0.156116 0.171966 0.188299 0.206366
2024-11-03 0.097421 0.115776 0.135292 0.157458 0.181807 0.207617 0.236923
2024-11-10 0.086626 0.108698 0.132918 0.161192 0.193022 0.227498 0.267412
2024-11-17 0.075835 0.100270 0.127895 0.160963 0.199014 0.241004 0.290428
2024-11-24 0.069405 0.096083 0.127028 0.164859 0.209174 0.258815 0.318007
2024-12-01 0.062586 0.090722 0.124194 0.165948 0.215688 0.272180 0.340340
2024-12-08 0.055991 0.085017 0.120427 0.165470 0.219988 0.282708 0.359207
2024-12-15 0.050913 0.080774 0.118063 0.166345 0.225618 0.294581 0.379486
2024-12-22 0.045670 0.075868 0.114499 0.165421 0.228819 0.303397 0.396051
2024-12-29 0.042794 0.073886 0.114461 0.168724 0.237037 0.318097 0.419515
2025-01-05 0.039129 0.070515 0.112379 0.169240 0.241674 0.328404 0.437707
2025-01-12 0.035560 0.066995 0.109867 0.169009 0.245229 0.337295 0.454142
2025-01-19 0.031720 0.062868 0.106423 0.167538 0.247292 0.344535 0.468871
2025-01-26 0.029215 0.060539 0.105297 0.169009 0.253024 0.356255 0.489049
2025-02-02 0.027701 0.059619 0.106056 0.172946 0.261902 0.371885 0.514050
2025-02-09 0.025084 0.056723 0.103837 0.172723 0.265305 0.380649 0.530632
2025-02-16 0.023903 0.056071 0.104796 0.176804 0.274309 0.396443 0.555911
2025-02-23 0.022029 0.054096 0.103694 0.177947 0.279395 0.407281 0.575075
2025-03-02 0.019900 0.051488 0.101501 0.177449 0.282223 0.415208 0.590605
2025-03-09 0.018290 0.049650 0.100369 0.178365 0.286881 0.425439 0.609007
2025-03-16 0.016394 0.047102 0.097999 0.177399 0.288927 0.432274 0.623131
2025-03-23 0.015587 0.046545 0.098708 0.180851 0.296948 0.446805 0.646968
2025-03-30 0.014251 0.044823 0.097467 0.181391 0.300954 0.456131 0.664241